Cinelinx 2018 Oscars Predictions

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There are currently almost 6,000 members in the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS). These people are professionals who have worked in the film industry and every year it is their votes which decide the films and individuals which receive Oscar nominations. Each member will select 5 nominees in the category of their work, and they also select nominees for best picture. These votes are tabulated and the people and films that get the most votes end up with the nominations, which are then voted on again by the Academy to select the winners. (Click here to see the full list of this years’ nominees.)

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Predicting which nominees will walk away with Oscar awards is not easy. There are no formulas or tricks to help us, and our own opinions about which films are most worthy are based on, let’s face it, a limited personal experience. Some people claim that the winners are determined by their popularity; those nominees that are trending at the time the winners are selected are going to fare the best. Others claim that it is about previous work and effort. Those that have done the time and paid their dues will eventually be rewarded. Another perspective is that the Oscar winners are chosen in a way to help guide the future of film. Those with talent and potential are rewarded as an effort to bolster their careers and steer the industry in a particular direction.  

No matter if you subscribe to one of these theories or not, predicting Oscars can be downright frustrating. Every year we seem to be thrown a curveball that wasn’t expected or we roll our eyes when the obvious choice is made over other deserving nominees. This year is no different. There are films/people on the list of this year’s nominees that we expected to be there, and there are films/people on the list of this year’s nominees that we didn’t expect. Below, B.C., Rob and I try our best to cut through all of the confusion and make our best picks for the winners in each category. In some cases, we agreed. In others, we did not. Who will make the most accurate picks? Who will be this year’s Oscar Champion?

We want to see your picks too! Tell us who you think will win/should win in the comments below!

  Garrett B.C. Rob
Best Writing (Original Screenplay) Get Out Get Out Get Out
Best Writing (Adapted Screenplay) Call Me By Your Name Disaster Artist Logan
Visual Effects Planet of the Apes Planet of the Apes Guardians Vol .2
Sound Mixing Dunkirk The Last Jedi Blade Runner
Sound Editing Dunkirk Baby Driver Baby Driver
Short Film (Live Action) Dekalb Elementary The Silent Child The Silent Child
Short Film (Animated) Dear Basketball Dear Basketball  
Production Design The Shape of Water Beauty and the Beast The Shape of Water
Music (Original Song) Remember Me Remember Me This is Me
Music (Original Score) The Shape of Water Shape of water Star Wars: TLJ
Makeup and Hairstyling Darkest Hour Wonder Wonder
Foreign Language Film A Fantastic Woman The Wound The Square
Film Editing Dunkirk I, Tonya Baby Driver
Documentary (Short) Heroin(e) Heroin(e) Knife Skills
Documentary (Feature Length) Icarus Icarus Last Men in Aleppo
Direction Guillermo del Toro Del Toro The Shape of Water
Costume Design Phantom Thread Phantom Thread
Beauty and the Beast

Cinematography Blade Runner: 2049 Dunkirk The Shape of Water
Animated Feature Film Coco Coco Coco
Actress in a Supporting Role Allison Janney Mary J Blidge Allison Janney
Actor in a Supporting Role Sam Rockwell Sam Rockwall Sam Rockwell
Actress in a Leading Role Frances McDormand Saoirse Ronan Frances McDormand
Actor in a Leading Role Gary Oldman Gary Oldman Daniel kaluuya
Best Picture Three Billboards Three Billboards Get Out