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2019 Oscars Predictions: Who Will Win vs. Who We Want to Win

2019 Oscars Predictions: Who Will Win vs. Who We Want to Win

The Academy Awards are upon us! Join us as we compare our Oscar picks and those nominees we think deserve to win the most.

There are currently almost 6,000 members in the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS). These people are professionals who have worked in the film industry and every year it is their votes which decide the films and individuals which receive Oscar nominations. Each member will select 5 nominees in the category of their work, and they also select nominees for best picture. These votes are tabulated and the people and films that get the most votes end up with the nominations, which are then voted on again by the Academy to select the winners.

It’s not an easy task to sift through hundreds of films a year to determine which ones are the “best”. Consider that each of the nearly 6,000 voters this year brings their own unique experiences and perspectives to the process. Films that may appeal to one person, may not appeal to another. Some voters may be more in tune with current filmmaking trends, whereas others prefer traditional techniques and styles. From this procedure, you can also see how word-of-mouth popularity, film advertising, and even bad publicity can come into play. This process has been in place now for 9 decades, and during that time it’s no surprise that a few great films and filmmakers have been left without a deserving Oscar nomination. Likewise, it’s no surprise that there have been some nominees and winners that just seem out of place.

This year is as wide open as any year in recent memory. Only a few categories seem to have certain winners, and even those candidates who seemed like a sure thing a month ago are now 2nd or 3rd most likely to secure the win. The Academy's push to increase diversity among both voters and winners has seemingly resulted in a greater variety of the kinds of films and filmmakers that have been nominated. But will this translate into different types of films and filmmakers winning these awards, compared to what we've seen traditionally? This is what makes Oscar season so exciting! 

Here we try our best to get inside of the minds of voters based on the events of the last couple months. Below are our Oscar predictions, followed by the picks we want to win. Rarely do we agree, and rarely is the film we think will win the film we want to win in a given category. Who will make the most correct picks and be named "Oscar King" for this year?

CINELINX 2019 OSCAR PREDICTIONS Rob Garrett BC Jay Matt
Best Picture          
BlacKkKlansman       J  
Black Panther          
Bohemian Rhapsody          
The Favourite         M
Green Book          
Roma   G B    
A Star is Born R        
Vice          
Best Director          
Alfonso Cuarón (Roma) R G B J  
Yorgos Lanthimos (The Favourite)          
Spike Lee (BlacKkKlansman)          
Adam McCay (Vice)         M
Pawel Pawlikowski (Cold War)          
Best Actor          
Christian Bale (Vice)         M
Bradley Cooper (A Star is Born)          
Willem Dafoe (At Eternity's Gate)          
Rami Malek (Bohemian Rhapsody)   G B J  
Viggo Mortensen (Green Book) R        
Best Actress          
Yalitza Aparicio (Roma)          
Glenn Close (The Wife)   G B    
Olivia Colman (The Favourite) R        
Lady Gaga (A Star is Born)       J M
Melissa McCarthy (Can You Ever Forgive Me?)          
Supporting Actor          
Mahershala Ali (Green Book)   G B J M
Adam Driver (BlacKkKlansman)          
Sam Elliott (A Star is Born)          
Richard E. Grant (Can You Ever Forgive Me?)          
Sam Rockwell (Vice) R        
Supporting Actress          
Amy Adams (Vice)          
Marina de Tavira (Roma) R        
Regina King (If Beale Street Could Talk)   G B J M
Emma Stone (The Favourite)          
Rachel Weisz (The Favourite)          
Original Screenplay          
The Favourite   G B    
First Reformed          
Green Book       J M
Roma R        
Vice          
Adapted Screenplay          
A Star is Born R       M
The Ballad of Buster Scruggs          
BlacKkKlansman   G B J  
If Beale Street Could Talk          
Can You Ever Forgive Me?          
Animated Film          
The Incredibles 2          
Isle of Dogs          
Mirai          
Ralph Breaks the Internet          
Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse R G B J M
Foreign Film          
Capernaum (Lebanon)          
Cold War (Poland)          
Never Look Away (Germany)          
Roma (Mexico) R G B J M
Shoplifters (Japan)          
Documentary - Feature          
Free Solo   G B   M
Hale County This Morning, This Evening          
Minding the Gap       J  
Of Fathers and Sons          
RBG R        
Documentary - Short          
Black Sheep     B    
End Game   G     M
Life Boat       J  
A Night at the Garden          
Period. End of Sentence.          
Live Action Short          
Detainment          
Fauve         M
Marguerite   G B    
Mother          
Skin       J  
Animated Short          
Animal Behaviour          
Bao R G B   M
Late Afternoon       J  
One Small Step          
Weekends          
Best Original Score          
Black Panther R   B J  
BlacKkKlansman          
Isle of Dogs          
Mary Poppins Returns         M
If Beale Street Could Talk   G      
Best Original Song          
"All the Stars" - Black Panther          
"I'll Fight" - RBG          
"The Planet Where Lost Things Go" - Mary Poppins Returns          
"Shallow" - A Star is Born R G B J M
"When a Cowboy Trades His Spurs for Wings" - The Ballad of Buster Scruggs          
Best Sound Editing          
Black Panther       J  
Bohemian Rhapsody R G      
First Man          
A Quiet Place     B   M
Roma          
Best Sound Mixing          
Black Panther       J  
Bohemian Rhapsody   G B    
First Man          
Roma          
A Star is Born R       M
Best Production Design          
Black Panther R     J  
The Favourite   G B   M
First Man          
Mary Poppins Returns          
Roma          
Best Cinematography          
The Favourite          
Never Look Away          
Roma R G B   M
A Star is Born       J  
Cold War          
Makeup and Hairstyling          
Border          
Mary Queen of Scots R     J  
Vice   G B   M
Costume Design          
The Ballad of Buster Scruggs          
Black Panther     B J  
The Favourite   G     M
Mary Poppins Returns          
Mary Queen of Scots R        
Best Film Editing          
BlacKkKlansman       J  
Bohemian Rhapsody          
The Favourite          
Green Book         M
Vice R G B    
Best Visual Effects          
Avengers: Infinity War R G B   M
Christopher Robin          
First Man          
Ready Player One          
Solo: A Star Wars Story       J  

Of course, who we think will win is not the same as who we want to win. Although there were some notable snubs, here is what the winners would look like if each of us had our way:

CINELINX 2019 OSCAR PREFERENCES (WHO WE WANT TO WIN) Rob Garrett BC Jay Matt
Best Picture          
BlacKkKlansman R        
Black Panther     B J  
Bohemian Rhapsody          
The Favourite   G      
Green Book          
Roma         M
A Star is Born          
Vice          
Best Director          
Alfonso Cuarón (Roma)   G     M
Yorgos Lanthimos (The Favourite)          
Spike Lee (BlacKkKlansman) R   B J  
Adam McCay (Vice)          
Pawel Pawlikowski (Cold War)          
Best Actor          
Christian Bale (Vice)         M
Bradley Cooper (A Star is Born) R        
Willem Dafoe (At Eternity's Gate)          
Rami Malek (Bohemian Rhapsody)   G B J  
Viggo Mortensen (Green Book)          
Best Actress          
Yalitza Aparicio (Roma)         M
Glenn Close (The Wife)     B    
Olivia Colman (The Favourite)   G      
Lady Gaga (A Star is Born) R     J  
Melissa McCarthy (Can You Ever Forgive Me?)          
Supporting Actor          
Mahershala Ali (Green Book) R G     M
Adam Driver (BlacKkKlansman)          
Sam Elliott (A Star is Born)          
Richard E. Grant (Can You Ever Forgive Me?)          
Sam Rockwell (Vice)     B J  
Supporting Actress          
Amy Adams (Vice)          
Marina de Tavira (Roma)          
Regina King (If Beale Street Could Talk) R   B J M
Emma Stone (The Favourite)   G      
Rachel Weisz (The Favourite)          
Original Screenplay          
The Favourite   G B    
First Reformed          
Green Book          
Roma       J M
Vice R        
Adapted Screenplay          
A Star is Born   G      
The Ballad of Buster Scruggs          
BlacKkKlansman R   B   M
If Beale Street Could Talk       J  
Can You Ever Forgive Me?          
Animated Film          
The Incredibles 2          
Isle of Dogs          
Mirai          
Ralph Breaks the Internet          
Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse R G B J M
Foreign Film          
Capernaum (Lebanon)          
Cold War (Poland)          
Never Look Away (Germany)          
Roma (Mexico) R G B J M
Shoplifters (Japan)          
Documentary - Feature          
Free Solo   G B    
Hale County This Morning, This Evening       J  
Minding the Gap         M
Of Fathers and Sons          
RBG R        
Documentary - Short          
Black Sheep     B    
End Game   G   J  
Life Boat          
A Night at the Garden         M
Period. End of Sentence.          
Live Action Short          
Detainment          
Fauve          
Marguerite   G B   M
Mother       J  
Skin          
Animated Short          
Animal Behaviour          
Bao R G B    
Late Afternoon          
One Small Step       J M
Weekends          
Best Original Score          
Black Panther R   B J M
BlacKkKlansman          
Isle of Dogs          
Mary Poppins Returns          
If Beale Street Could Talk   G      
Best Original Song          
"All the Stars" - Black Panther R   B J  
"I'll Fight" - RBG          
"The Planet Where Lost Things Go" - Mary Poppins Returns          
"Shallow" - A Star is Born   G     M
"When a Cowboy Trades His Spurs for Wings" - The Ballad of Buster Scruggs          
Best Sound Editing          
Black Panther     B J  
Bohemian Rhapsody R        
First Man   G      
A Quiet Place         M
Roma          
Best Sound Mixing          
Black Panther     B J  
Bohemian Rhapsody R       M
First Man   G      
Roma          
A Star is Born          
Best Production Design          
Black Panther     B J  
The Favourite R G     M
First Man          
Mary Poppins Returns          
Roma          
Best Cinematography          
The Favourite R        
Never Look Away          
Roma     B   M
A Star is Born       J  
Cold War   G      
Makeup and Hairstyling          
Border          
Mary Queen of Scots       J  
Vice   G B   M
Costume Design          
The Ballad of Buster Scruggs          
Black Panther R   B J  
The Favourite   G     X
Mary Poppins Returns          
Mary Queen of Scots          
Best Film Editing          
BlacKkKlansman R     J M
Bohemian Rhapsody     B    
The Favourite   G      
Green Book          
Vice          
Best Visual Effects          
Avengers: Infinity War R   B J M
Christopher Robin          
First Man          
Ready Player One   G      
Solo: A Star Wars Story          

Our other 2019 Oscars Coverage:

Oscar Previews: Part 1

Oscar Previews: Part 2

Oscar Snubs and Headscratchers